Payday loans to build exposures to different markets
Throughout the 1990s, several other initiatives were launched to get derivatives started. Iain Reid, a property consultant, realized that property funds could benefit hugely from the ability not just to build synthetic exposures to different segments of the market but also to hedge existing long positions by creating off-setting short positions. Reid moved to Barclays and found that its bankers were similarly enthusiastic about his plans to develop a product that could hedge property exposures. The UK real estate market had just been through a crash, and Barclays had property exposure as a result of bad loans made to property developers. To them, the idea that they could hedge that exposure was a revelation and they were very keen to launch something.
Together with Aberdeen Property Investors, Barclays Capital structured a tradable bond that pays out IPD index returns. They called these bonds Property Index Certificates (PICs). PICs link their coupon payments to the IPD All Property Income Return Index and the capital redemption value to the IPD All Property Capital Growth Index. Investors who wanted to gain exposure to the property market paid upfront to buy the bond and received income based on property valuations in the form of quarterly coupon and redemption payments. By issuing PICs, Barclays basically exchanged its long property exposure for a fixed income. The PICs were seen as bond instruments that pay a return based on an IPD index rather than pure derivatives.
The instruments enable investors to bet on the market, but not against it. Since its release, the certificate has mainly created interest from high-net-worth, private bank and institutional investors. In addition, Barclays launched exchange-traded Property Index Forwards (PIFs). These forward contracts on the IPD Capital Growth or Total Return Index included some standardized elements, to make the products tradable. However, in contrast to exchange-traded future contracts, not the market itself but the bank took the role of the market maker. Since the bank never really succeeded in developing a liquid secondary market, the concept was still based on matching buyers and sellers. Barclays continuously quoted prices for the contracts.
Loans market is developing confidence and stability
After years of a hesitant existence, the UK property derivatives market is developing confidence and stability that has generated a momentum of excitement. Property derivatives had a small cohort of advocates since the mid 1990s, but for most of that period only Barclays Capital was involved. The market remained illiquid and one-sided. Apart from rare activity, the market did not start to grow until 2005. Transactions happened occasionally but volumes were very low. The first publicly traded property derivatives were the futures that were traded on the London Futures and Options Exchange (FOX), introduced on 9 May, 1991. Pension funds used property derivatives when they first came out. The exchange offered four contracts based on indices for commercial property capital value, commercial rent, residential property and mortgage rates. The underlying indices of the FOX contracts were the IPD capital growth index, the IPD rental growth index, the Nationwide Anglia House Price (NAHP) index and the FOX Mortgage Interest Rate (MIR) index. While the IPD indices are based on appraisals and reflect commercial properties, theNAHPis a transaction-based hedonic index on residential properties (see property indices).
Unfortunately, trading was suspended just a few months after the launch. It became public that trading volumes were artificially boosted using so-called wash trades, i.e. offsetting deals that in the end produce neither a gain nor a loss. However, real trading volume was much lower than expected. The discovery of this mischief hastened the contracts’ demise. In sum, the market was open only from May to October of 1991.
It is possible to make a credit funded investment
Alternatively to an unfunded swap or CFD, it is also possible to make a funded investment. Rather than paying LIBOR plus a spread quarterly and receiving property returns, the investor pays the notional amount of cash upfront and receives property returns net of the spread. For example, on a two-year swap an investor could choose, rather than paying LIBOR plus 1% on the swap, to pay 100% of the notional amount and receive the property return minus 1% each year and 100% redemption after two years.
The basis for property derivatives documentation is the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) documentation. Just as for other derivatives, ISDA has prepared standardized documents for property swaps, in order to facilitate trading. The Property Index Derivatives Definitions were published in May 2007. Standardization aims to reduce transaction costs, legal risk and transaction time, to increase transparency and confidence in the market, and to improve efficiency and liquidity. In addition to the definitions, ISDA provides confirmation templates for forwards and swaps in the US (Form X) and in Europe (Form Y), as well as an annex that describes the indices on which the trades are based. By September 2007, the Association has included the Standard&Poor’s/Case–Shiller Index, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) Index, the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) Index, the worldwide Investment Property Databank (IPD) Indices, the UK Halifax House Price Index, the FTSE UK Commercial Property Index and Radar Logic’s Residential Property Index (RPX). The definitions booklet covers issues such as disruption events on these indices. More indices, as well as confirmation templates for options and basket trades, are likely to follow.
Exchange of cash flows between loans
A PTRS is a simple exchange of cash flows between two counterparties based on a notional amount. On one side, the buyer, taking a long position on commercial property, pays a fixed percentage interest rate or LIBOR plus a spread. In return, he or she receives a cashflow based on the annual total return of the property index. The seller, taking the equivalent short position, pays and receives cashflows that are exactly opposite.
The interest rate used by the market is typically the three-month LIBOR. The spread that is added reflects expectations of the future performance of the index, and what buyers and sellers are prepared to accept to take the position (see the property spread). In January 2008, many banks switched from the LIBOR-based to a fixed interest rate convention.
In the event that the annual total return is negative, i.e. if the capital value drops sufficiently to wipe out income returns, the total return buyer pays that negative return to the seller, in addition to the quarterly interest payments. The property index commonly used is an annual index, which is based on the actual performance of a large number of institutional portfolios and comprises an income or rental and a capital growth element.
In addition to swaps, contracts-for-difference (CFDs) are used as trading instruments. For deals on residential indices, such as the Halifax House Price Index, CFDs are already common. A CFD represents an index that is artificially set at 100 when the deal is done. Investors and hedgers then state the price at which they are willing to buy or sell the index at maturity. If two counterparties agree on a three-year deal at 112 and the index rises to 116, then the buyer receives 116 ? 112 = 4 times the contract size from the seller. The transactions are cash free until maturity, when profits and losses are settled. Many market participants find CFDs more intuitive than swaps.
The Credit Property Total Return Swap
By December 2007, property derivatives deals have been made public in Australia, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Switzerland, the UK and the US. Deals were referenced to both commercial and residential properties. Derivatives that reflect commercial real estate are typically tied to appraisal-based indices while derivatives that reflect owner-occupied residential housing usually use transaction-based indices as the underlying instrument (see property indices).
Most contracts are still executed as matched bargain trades between a buyer and a seller, with pricing determined through negotiations between them. As the market becomes more liquid, standardized contracts will become available directly from intermediaries. They will price the contracts and assume the risk of finding a suitable counterparty.
Several derivative structures have been developed and traded. So far, the bulk of trades has been structured as over-the-counter (OTC) swap contracts. In addition, a few derivatives are listed and traded on public exchanges. Most market participants are aiming to create derivatives that replicate the familiar characteristics of direct property investment, i.e. quarterly rental income and annual capital growth. As the market expands, the variety of structures increases. Derivative markets have a particular order of development and it is not unusual for options to develop after futures and swaps, because the option writers require these instruments to be liquid in order to hedge their positions.
The Property Total Return Swap (PTRS) is the most popular format and, in principle, swaps a fixed or floating interest payment for an amount calculated with reference to total returns on the property index, which consists of both rental income and capital gains (see swap transactions). The swap structure is quite simple and the variations usually only involve the choice of the index (country, sector and rental, and/or capital growth index), the tenor and the payment conventions.
Derivatives to manage house credit and price risk
On the side of residential owner-occupied housing, Hinkelmann and Swidler (2006) are sceptic as to whether the market can take off. Mentally, homeowners tend to treat their home just as a consumption good rather than as an investment that involves price risk. Moreover, they would always be subject to a huge tracking error risk when hedging their homes with derivatives based on house price indices. This limits the effectiveness of hedging, and individuals may not use derivatives to manage house price risk. Ultimately, a lack of hedgers in the marketplace may lead to failure of residential housing derivatives such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) housing futures contracts. It remains to be seen whether the involved challenges and hurdles can be successfully addressed.
History shows that the buildup period of a new market is very fragile. Property derivatives were launched in the early 1990s and actually failed. The debut on the London Futures and Options Exchange (FOX) crashed in a combination of bad timing and scandal over false trades designed to create the impression of higher activity (see experience in property derivatives).
Today, liquidity in the property derivatives market has a good chance of being increased. In 1981, the first interest rate swap was done. Although people were sceptic at the time, it is now a trillion dollar market. The property market could experience a similar sort of growth in derivative instruments.
Cash-settled payday loan contracts are available
After the launch of futures and options on regional home prices, CME announced a partnership with the commercial real estate index provider Global Real Analytics (GRA) on 6 September 2006. They listed future and option contracts based on the S&P/GRA Commercial Real Estate Indices (CREX) on 29 October 2007.
The S&P/GRA CREX indices capture underlying real estate dynamics by tracking transaction-based price changes in diverse property sectors and geographic regions. GRA has a 20-year history of capturing data and sees the new indices as a natural extension, suited for the use of publicly traded futures contracts.
Ten quarterly cash-settled contracts are available: a national composite index, five regional indices (Desert Mountain West, Mid-Atlantic South, Northeast, Midwest and Pacific West) and four national property type indices (retail, office, apartment and warehouse properties).
CME expects the users of the new property contracts to be different from those trading in housing derivatives. If someone hedges against house-price declines in an area, he or she develops or buys a house there. The commercial contracts, on the other hand, are designed for larger investors who hold commercial properties in their portfolios, such as pension funds and REITs.
To hedge real estate or home price declines, individuals can purchase put options based on a particular index. If prices fall, investors will naturally see the value of their real estate holdings decline, but they offset the losses with gains in the put options. The CME hopes that there will be enough speculators in the market to take the other side of the transactions.
Credit generates information about supply and demand
Property derivatives will improve transparency in the real estate market. According to Tsetsekos and Varangis (2000), an active derivatives market plays an important role in facilitating an efficient determination of prices in the underlying spot market by improving transparency on current and future prices. A successful property derivatives market may have several feedback effects on its underlying properties and indices.
Derivatives and their prices generate information about supply and demand of market participants. After the establishment of a derivatives market and due to more and better information, efficiency in the spot market can very well improve. Derivatives make nontransparent prices visible. In particular, the observed derivative prices reveal the market’s expectations. The result could be that market participants anticipate price expectations faster, and nonrandom price moves such as cyclical behavior could partly be washed out. It is important not to confuse true cycles with autocorrelation in an index that may simply arise due to the index construction method. It can be assumed that prices of physical properties adapt faster to new information if there is a derivatives market.
Payday loans as a new solution to invest
GFI and Colliers claim they are working with the National University of Singapore to create residential indices for Singapore’s housing market. The main issue is that there are fewcountries that have an adequate amount of transparency to develop credible and robust indices on which to trade.
The first property derivatives in Switzerland were launched by the Zuercher Kantonalbank (ZKB) in February 2006. The bank issued two structured products that were offered to institutional as well as retail investors as a new solution to invest into the asset class of real estate.
One of the products was capital-protected while the other was structured as a discount certificate. The products could be subscribed in small denominations and the bank guaranteed a daily secondary market. The two products were based on the “ZuercherWohneigentumsindex (ZWEX),” which tracks owner-occupied house prices in the Zurich greater area. The index is calculated and published quarterly and is based on transaction prices. The bank says that demand exceeded expectations, especially for the product with capital protection.
In September 2007, the first swap on commercial property was transacted. ZKB and ABN Amro traded the IPD Switzerland All Property TR Index against Swiss LIBOR plus an undisclosed spread.
Basis for two-year total tax return
Starting in November 2006, Colliers International and interdealer broker GFI formed a joint venture, GFI Colliers, that offers brokerage services for derivative contracts on the Hong Kong University–Hong Kong Residential Price Index (HKU–HRPI). The index, complied by the University of Hong Kong, is based on transaction figures from the Land Registry. Hong Kong has long attracted attention in the global property world due to the volatility of its real estate prices. The HKU–HRPI was offered at 650 basis points over HIBOR or a total of roughly 10.5 %. ABN Amro and Sun Hung Kai Financial announced in February 2007 that they had traded a property swap based on Hong Kong’s residential market. The inaugural transaction in Asia, at less than HK$ 100 million (US$ 13 million), was traded as a one-year price return swap. As buyer of the derivative, ABN Amro gained exposure to the city’s housing market by receiving the annual change in the index. By September 2007, five global banks have received licenses to trade Hong Kong residential property derivatives.
The first Italian property derivative transaction, based on the IPD Italian Property Index, was carried out between Grosvenor and BNP Paribas in October 2007. ICAP acted as a broker for the trade that took the form of a two-year swap.
Further, Grosvenor and Royal Bank of Scotland have traded the first Japanese property derivative in July 2007. The monthly IPD Japan Property Index was used as the basis for the two-year total return swap. It was the first derivatives trade on commercial property in Asia, following the launch of a residential property derivatives market in Hong Kong. IPD uses data provided by Japanese real estate investment trusts (J-REITs) to calculate the index.
